【摘要】Using a dynamic computable general equilibrium model of the Chinese economy weinvestigate the economic effects of relaxing China’s household registration system over theperiod 2008 to 2020. The modelling results show that reducing the institutional restriction torural labour movement will encourage rural workers to move from agricultural and ruralnon-agricultural sectors into urban sectors. This enhanced labour movement will not onlyincrease China’s GDP and real consumption of households but it will also raise the real wagesof agricultural and rural non-agricultural workers. Although the real wage of rural migrantworkers will increase at a slightly lower rate than in the baseline scenario, rural migrant workersremain considerably better paid than agricultural and rural non-agricultural workers.

【关键词】China;CGE modelling;labour supply;rural-urban migration;economic growth

【文献来源】Yinhua Mai;Xiujian Peng;Peter Dixon;Maureen Rimmer.Papers in Regional Studies.2014（3）